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Prediction Follow Up
We didn't get the quick and fast drop like I had expected; instead we got a slow grind to close down 4% in 5 days on the indexes. Works for me. I closed a few positions (SPY DEC 100 Puts and VIX NOV 25 Calls, did very ni… -
Prediction
Looks like next Monday should be the ultimate top and end to the bear market rally. 1100 on S&P, 2200 on NASDAQ, we already hit 10k on the DJIA. The fun begins on Tuesday. As for OPEX today, it was awesome. Everyth… -
Some Market Notes
Haven't really talked about the stock market lately, so here's a few thoughts. I mostly follow the S&P 500 these days, since it's more accurate and predictable than the DJIA (which is pretty useless since it's a pri… -
First-time Home Buyer Frenzy
From CalculatedRisk: "Expect a surge in existing home sales (and some new home sales) over the next few months. Expect prices at the low end to rise (simple supply and demand). Expect all kinds of reports that the botto… -
Financial Roller Coaster
Bank run on August 26th? If anything though, September and October will be fun. -
Second Stimulus
More talk of a second stimulus... Perhaps by the end of October this year? Just a thought. -
Predictions for 09 Recap
Since we're almost half way through this year, and just for fun, let's see how my predictions from the start of the year fared: Some predictions for 2009.... Just because everyone else is doing it. Starting with some ob… -
FAZ
Blah, woke up too early (6 AM PST), saw that the market was opening "modestly higher" according to futures, then went back to sleep. Woke up again at 7:30, and saw FAZ was already green for the day, and that the market q… -
FAZ
FAZ JUL 7.50 C's are only $0.90 or so today... They sound mighty tempting. I think I'm going to pick up as many as I can tomorrow morning. I was debating between picking up more SRS (since the crash should be more hou… -
Fakeout?
It seems like this breakout over 8200 today may actually prove to be a fakeout (massive bull trap). I'll be betting on that, by picking up some SRS and FAZ calls on Friday or Monday (probably half on Friday, half on Mond…
Recent Weblogs
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VIX
Closed out my VIX DEC 30 calls. Entered at $1.35, ... -
Market Follow-Up
Market rallied yesterday on Q3 GDP numbers, revers... -
Good News Everyone!
The recession is over! Let's ignore the coupl...
